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Successful negotiation is about discussion aimed at reaching an agreement

Emina Milišić, Office of Chief Economist Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina Interacting with International Financial Institutions is of great importance, especially for Central Banks, which often...

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Capital Markets, COVID-19 and Policy Measures

In addition to causing a global recession, the COVID-19 pandemic, spurred a dramatic response in capital markets (Alfaro et al., 2020; De Bock et al., 2020). As investors gauged the economic...

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How does climate change impact the financial stability policy of the Central...

Nacef ABDENNADHER, Dr & Ramzi SALEM Banque Centrale de Tunisie Climate change is seen as a major long term shock affecting the world economy. Climate change is a multidimensional threat that...

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A fistful of dollars: Transmission of global funding shocks to emerging markets

By Aakriti Mathur (Bank of England) and Shekhar Hari Kumar (The Graduate Institute, Geneva) This post first appeared on Bank Underground. Emerging markets (EMs) have become more exposed to the global...

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Non-US global banks and dollar (co-)dependence how housing markets became...

Torsten Ehlers (Bank for international Settlements), Mathias Hoffmann (University of Zurich), Alexander Raabe (European Stability Mechanism) The views expressed here are those of the authors and do not...

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Handle with Care: Regulatory Easing in Times of Covid-19

The views expressed herein are those of the author and should not be attributed to the IMF, its Executive Board, or its management __________ What happens when countries rapidly loosen financial...

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Estimating real exchange rate misalignment

Estimating real exchange rate misalignment Why are REER misalignments important? The real effective exchange rate (REER from now on) misalignment is an indicator that should highly concern...

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A BVAR Model for Forecasting Ukrainian Inflation

In 2016 the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) moved de facto to an inflation targeting regime. One of the required preconditions for successful implementation of an inflation targeting regime is the...

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Evaluating Growth-at-Risk as a tool for monitoring macro-financial risks in...

In the wake of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) there has been an increasing interest in understanding the relation between financial conditions and real activity. For this reason, there has recently...

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Should central banks welcome digital currencies?

Rosmarie Schlup Head of Macroeconomic Support, Economic Cooperation and Development, SECO Cédric Tille Professor of Economics, Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva, Head...

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Rising Inflation in the Post-COVID 19 Era: The Role of Expectations

By Michael Weber Around the world, inflation is surging as the economic activities resume after the COVID-19-induced closures. Commentators and policy makers are deeply divided about the causes,...

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Role of the Media in the Inflation Expectation Formation Process

How are inflation expectations formed? Opening the black box Anchoring inflation expectations is a key challenge for central banks, especially in developing countries. The process of inflation...

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Digital currencies impact on domestic and international payments

Oleksii SHABAN – Deputy Governor, National Bank of Ukraine This blog entry was submitted on 21 February 2022. The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) started looking into developing a CBDC (central bank...

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Challenges of conducting research at central banks

Marko Škreb Central banking consultant The workshop on strengthening research capacity at central banks was organized by the BCC and the Bank of Albania and took place on May 9-11, 2022 in Tirana. It...

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Is inflation back, and in which form?

By Federico Sturzenegger Universidad de San Andres, Harvard Kennedy School and HEC I want to start thanking Cedric Tille and the Geneva Graduate Institute for the invitation to address all of you this...

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Managing External Shocks in Commodity-Exporting Economies: Insights from...

Policymakers face substantial challenges in managing capital flows, while at the same time stabilizing economies. With these challenges in mind, the Integrated Policy Framework (IPF) has been developed...

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Effects of Banking Sector Cleanup on Lending Conditions in Ukraine

In 2014–2015, the Ukrainian banking sector experienced a deep financial crisis. To prevent the risks of a recurrence of such a large-scale distress, the National Bank of Ukraine changed its regulation...

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Sparse warcasting

This article was first published in VoxEU, 7 August 2023 link: https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/sparse-warcasting Sparse warcasting Forecasting economic activity during an invasion is a nontrivial...

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